Page 1
478 CHAPTER 19: DEVELOPMENT AND TRADE
Development and Trade
Topics 7.5–7.6
Topic 7.5 Theories of Development
Learning Objective: Explain different theories of economic and social develop -
ment. (SPS-7.E)
Topic 7.6 Trade and the World Economy
Learning Objective: Explain causes and geographic consequences of recent
economic changes such as the increase in international trade, deindustrializa-
tion, and growing interdependence in the world economy. (PSO-7.A)
Globalization, the increasing integration and interdependence
of domestic and overseas markets, has three sides: the good side,
the bad side, and the ugly side.
—Panos Mourdoukoutas, “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Side of
Globalization,” Forbes, 2011
Source: Wikimedia Commons
The Three Gorges dam is an infrastructure project designed to generate hydroelectric energy for
China. (See Topic 7.6 for factors that influence interdependence and the world economy.)
CHAPTER 19
Page 2
478 CHAPTER 19: DEVELOPMENT AND TRADE
Development and Trade
Topics 7.5–7.6
Topic 7.5 Theories of Development
Learning Objective: Explain different theories of economic and social develop -
ment. (SPS-7.E)
Topic 7.6 Trade and the World Economy
Learning Objective: Explain causes and geographic consequences of recent
economic changes such as the increase in international trade, deindustrializa-
tion, and growing interdependence in the world economy. (PSO-7.A)
Globalization, the increasing integration and interdependence
of domestic and overseas markets, has three sides: the good side,
the bad side, and the ugly side.
—Panos Mourdoukoutas, “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Side of
Globalization,” Forbes, 2011
Source: Wikimedia Commons
The Three Gorges dam is an infrastructure project designed to generate hydroelectric energy for
China. (See Topic 7.6 for factors that influence interdependence and the world economy.)
CHAPTER 19
7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT 479
7.5
Theories of Development
Essential Question: What are the theories of economic and social
development?
Why have some countries of the world become so much wealthier than
others? Geographers and others have proposed several theories of development
to answer this question. Underlying it is a more general issue about equality.
Can all countries grow equally prosperous, or will the world always include a
mix of more- and less-wealthy countries?
Theories of Development
Topic 7.3 described various social and economic measures of development and
systems for grouping countries based on these measures. While the measures
and systems vary, most show that Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea,
and most countries of North America and Europe are more developed than
most of Africa, parts of Asia, and South America. Two of the best-known
theories explaining these differences were developed by Walt Rostow and
Immanuel Wallerstein.
Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth
In 1960, American economist W alt W . Rostow developed a modernization theory
that focuses on the shift from traditional to modern forms of society. He called
it the Stages of Economic Growth model. Rostow assumed that all countries
wanted to modernize, and that all would, though at different speeds. He saw
economic development as a linear progression in which countries moved from
one stage to the next until they reached the fifth and final stage—high mass
consumption.
Like the Demographic Transition Model (DTM), the Stages of Economic
Growth theory is a generalization based upon how the United States and
western Europe evolved, and both identify distinct stages. However, they differ
fundamentally. The DTM is a population model that focuses on changes in the
number of people in a country . Rostow's theory is an economic model that focuses
on how people live.
Rostow suggested that different inputs and levels of investment were
required to allow countries to move from one stage to the next. The theory
suggests a system for development—do this, then this, and eventually the
economy of a country will become developed. The key characteristics associated
with each stage are listed in the chart on the following page.
Page 3
478 CHAPTER 19: DEVELOPMENT AND TRADE
Development and Trade
Topics 7.5–7.6
Topic 7.5 Theories of Development
Learning Objective: Explain different theories of economic and social develop -
ment. (SPS-7.E)
Topic 7.6 Trade and the World Economy
Learning Objective: Explain causes and geographic consequences of recent
economic changes such as the increase in international trade, deindustrializa-
tion, and growing interdependence in the world economy. (PSO-7.A)
Globalization, the increasing integration and interdependence
of domestic and overseas markets, has three sides: the good side,
the bad side, and the ugly side.
—Panos Mourdoukoutas, “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Side of
Globalization,” Forbes, 2011
Source: Wikimedia Commons
The Three Gorges dam is an infrastructure project designed to generate hydroelectric energy for
China. (See Topic 7.6 for factors that influence interdependence and the world economy.)
CHAPTER 19
7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT 479
7.5
Theories of Development
Essential Question: What are the theories of economic and social
development?
Why have some countries of the world become so much wealthier than
others? Geographers and others have proposed several theories of development
to answer this question. Underlying it is a more general issue about equality.
Can all countries grow equally prosperous, or will the world always include a
mix of more- and less-wealthy countries?
Theories of Development
Topic 7.3 described various social and economic measures of development and
systems for grouping countries based on these measures. While the measures
and systems vary, most show that Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea,
and most countries of North America and Europe are more developed than
most of Africa, parts of Asia, and South America. Two of the best-known
theories explaining these differences were developed by Walt Rostow and
Immanuel Wallerstein.
Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth
In 1960, American economist W alt W . Rostow developed a modernization theory
that focuses on the shift from traditional to modern forms of society. He called
it the Stages of Economic Growth model. Rostow assumed that all countries
wanted to modernize, and that all would, though at different speeds. He saw
economic development as a linear progression in which countries moved from
one stage to the next until they reached the fifth and final stage—high mass
consumption.
Like the Demographic Transition Model (DTM), the Stages of Economic
Growth theory is a generalization based upon how the United States and
western Europe evolved, and both identify distinct stages. However, they differ
fundamentally. The DTM is a population model that focuses on changes in the
number of people in a country . Rostow's theory is an economic model that focuses
on how people live.
Rostow suggested that different inputs and levels of investment were
required to allow countries to move from one stage to the next. The theory
suggests a system for development—do this, then this, and eventually the
economy of a country will become developed. The key characteristics associated
with each stage are listed in the chart on the following page.
480 HUMAN GEOGRAPHY: AP
®
EDITION
ROSTOW’S STAGES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Stage Characteristics Examples
1. Traditional
Society
• Depends upon primary sector
activities (farming, fishing, hunting) for
subsistence
• Uses limited technology
• Carries out local or regional trading
• Enjoys limited socioeconomic mobility
• English colonies in
North America in the
17
th
century
• Medieval Europe
• No entire country is
at this stage today
2. Preconditions
for Take-Off • Improves infrastructure (roads,
electrical grid, water systems, etc.)
• Improves farming techniques and shifts
toward commercial agriculture
• Exports agricultural and raw materials
(international trade)
• Diffuses technology more widely
• Starts individual socioeconomic
mobility
• United States in the
early 19
th
century
• Nigeria today
• Afghanistan today
3. Take-Off • Develops major technological
innovations
• Starts industrialization and primary
sector begins to shrink
• Spreads entrepreneurial mentality
• Begins to urbanize
• Initiates self-sustaining growth
• United States, mid-
19
th
century
• Japan, late
19
th
century
• Bangladesh today
4. Drive to
Maturity
• Creates new industries while
strengthening existing ones
• Improves energy, transportation, and
communication systems
• Sees economic growth greater than
population growth
• Invests in social infrastructure (schools,
hospitals, etc.)
• United States, late
19
th
century
• Germany, early
20
th
century
• Brazil today
5. High Mass
Consumption
• Spends money on nonessential goods
(consumerism)
• Purchases of high order goods become
common
• Desires to create a more egalitarian
society
• Supports a strong tertiary sector
• United States, early
1920s to present
• Japan, mid-1950s to
present
Notice the types of changes that have to occur to allow for a country to transition from one stage to the
next. What would be a major concern if all countries reached the stage of high mass consumption?
Page 4
478 CHAPTER 19: DEVELOPMENT AND TRADE
Development and Trade
Topics 7.5–7.6
Topic 7.5 Theories of Development
Learning Objective: Explain different theories of economic and social develop -
ment. (SPS-7.E)
Topic 7.6 Trade and the World Economy
Learning Objective: Explain causes and geographic consequences of recent
economic changes such as the increase in international trade, deindustrializa-
tion, and growing interdependence in the world economy. (PSO-7.A)
Globalization, the increasing integration and interdependence
of domestic and overseas markets, has three sides: the good side,
the bad side, and the ugly side.
—Panos Mourdoukoutas, “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Side of
Globalization,” Forbes, 2011
Source: Wikimedia Commons
The Three Gorges dam is an infrastructure project designed to generate hydroelectric energy for
China. (See Topic 7.6 for factors that influence interdependence and the world economy.)
CHAPTER 19
7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT 479
7.5
Theories of Development
Essential Question: What are the theories of economic and social
development?
Why have some countries of the world become so much wealthier than
others? Geographers and others have proposed several theories of development
to answer this question. Underlying it is a more general issue about equality.
Can all countries grow equally prosperous, or will the world always include a
mix of more- and less-wealthy countries?
Theories of Development
Topic 7.3 described various social and economic measures of development and
systems for grouping countries based on these measures. While the measures
and systems vary, most show that Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea,
and most countries of North America and Europe are more developed than
most of Africa, parts of Asia, and South America. Two of the best-known
theories explaining these differences were developed by Walt Rostow and
Immanuel Wallerstein.
Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth
In 1960, American economist W alt W . Rostow developed a modernization theory
that focuses on the shift from traditional to modern forms of society. He called
it the Stages of Economic Growth model. Rostow assumed that all countries
wanted to modernize, and that all would, though at different speeds. He saw
economic development as a linear progression in which countries moved from
one stage to the next until they reached the fifth and final stage—high mass
consumption.
Like the Demographic Transition Model (DTM), the Stages of Economic
Growth theory is a generalization based upon how the United States and
western Europe evolved, and both identify distinct stages. However, they differ
fundamentally. The DTM is a population model that focuses on changes in the
number of people in a country . Rostow's theory is an economic model that focuses
on how people live.
Rostow suggested that different inputs and levels of investment were
required to allow countries to move from one stage to the next. The theory
suggests a system for development—do this, then this, and eventually the
economy of a country will become developed. The key characteristics associated
with each stage are listed in the chart on the following page.
480 HUMAN GEOGRAPHY: AP
®
EDITION
ROSTOW’S STAGES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Stage Characteristics Examples
1. Traditional
Society
• Depends upon primary sector
activities (farming, fishing, hunting) for
subsistence
• Uses limited technology
• Carries out local or regional trading
• Enjoys limited socioeconomic mobility
• English colonies in
North America in the
17
th
century
• Medieval Europe
• No entire country is
at this stage today
2. Preconditions
for Take-Off • Improves infrastructure (roads,
electrical grid, water systems, etc.)
• Improves farming techniques and shifts
toward commercial agriculture
• Exports agricultural and raw materials
(international trade)
• Diffuses technology more widely
• Starts individual socioeconomic
mobility
• United States in the
early 19
th
century
• Nigeria today
• Afghanistan today
3. Take-Off • Develops major technological
innovations
• Starts industrialization and primary
sector begins to shrink
• Spreads entrepreneurial mentality
• Begins to urbanize
• Initiates self-sustaining growth
• United States, mid-
19
th
century
• Japan, late
19
th
century
• Bangladesh today
4. Drive to
Maturity
• Creates new industries while
strengthening existing ones
• Improves energy, transportation, and
communication systems
• Sees economic growth greater than
population growth
• Invests in social infrastructure (schools,
hospitals, etc.)
• United States, late
19
th
century
• Germany, early
20
th
century
• Brazil today
5. High Mass
Consumption
• Spends money on nonessential goods
(consumerism)
• Purchases of high order goods become
common
• Desires to create a more egalitarian
society
• Supports a strong tertiary sector
• United States, early
1920s to present
• Japan, mid-1950s to
present
Notice the types of changes that have to occur to allow for a country to transition from one stage to the
next. What would be a major concern if all countries reached the stage of high mass consumption?
481 7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT
Criticisms of Rostow’s Model
In spite of being one of the most influential economic models of the 20
th
century,
some experts have expressed concerns about Rostow's model. Critics of Stages
of Economic Growth model argue it has several weaknesses.
Limited Examples The model was based on American and European
examples, so it did not fit countries of non-Western cultures or noncapitalist
economies.
Role of Exploitation Rostow's model led to poorer countries getting
trapped in a state of dependency upon wealthier countries.
Bias Toward Progress The model suggested linear change, always in the
direction of progress. However, developing countries often need the assistance,
money, and technology of developed countries to develop. And in some cases,
countries might regress in economic development.
Lack of Variation In his model, Rostow suggested all countries have the
potential to develop, but there are significant differences among countries,
such as physical size, population, natural resources, relative location, political
systems, and climate, that affect their ability to develop.
Lack of Sustainability The model assumed that everyone could eventually
lead a life of high mass consumption but failed to consider sustainable
development or the carrying capacity of the earth.
Need for Poorer Countries Rostow's model failed to recognize that most
of the countries which reached the stage of high mass consumption did so by
exploiting the resources of lesser-developed countries. Countries that were still
developing would have difficulty finding other countries to exploit.
Narrow Focus The model focused on domestic economies and did not
directly address interactions between countries, specifically globalization.
Despite these criticisms, geographers, economists, and others continue to
use the model to understand how countries have changed over the past two
centuries. It has prompted people to think about economic and social change
in a global context and challenged them to provide their own framework.
Wallerstein’s World Systems Theory
In the 1970s, historian Immanuel Wallerstein proposed an alternative model
to Rostow’s, which he called the World Systems Theory. It is a dependency
model, meaning that countries do not exist in isolation but are part of an
intertwined world system in which all countries are dependent on each other.
Dependency theory argues that colonialism and neocolonialism (see Topic
4.2) are the cause of global inequities. Both Wallerstein and Rostow attempt
to explain the inequalities that exist between different countries and regions.
W orld Systems Theory includes both political and economic elements that have
significant geographic impacts.
As mentioned in Topic 7.2, Wallerstein divided countries into three
types—core, semiperiphery, and periphery. As a result, his theory is sometimes
referred to as the Core-Periphery model.
Page 5
478 CHAPTER 19: DEVELOPMENT AND TRADE
Development and Trade
Topics 7.5–7.6
Topic 7.5 Theories of Development
Learning Objective: Explain different theories of economic and social develop -
ment. (SPS-7.E)
Topic 7.6 Trade and the World Economy
Learning Objective: Explain causes and geographic consequences of recent
economic changes such as the increase in international trade, deindustrializa-
tion, and growing interdependence in the world economy. (PSO-7.A)
Globalization, the increasing integration and interdependence
of domestic and overseas markets, has three sides: the good side,
the bad side, and the ugly side.
—Panos Mourdoukoutas, “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Side of
Globalization,” Forbes, 2011
Source: Wikimedia Commons
The Three Gorges dam is an infrastructure project designed to generate hydroelectric energy for
China. (See Topic 7.6 for factors that influence interdependence and the world economy.)
CHAPTER 19
7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT 479
7.5
Theories of Development
Essential Question: What are the theories of economic and social
development?
Why have some countries of the world become so much wealthier than
others? Geographers and others have proposed several theories of development
to answer this question. Underlying it is a more general issue about equality.
Can all countries grow equally prosperous, or will the world always include a
mix of more- and less-wealthy countries?
Theories of Development
Topic 7.3 described various social and economic measures of development and
systems for grouping countries based on these measures. While the measures
and systems vary, most show that Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea,
and most countries of North America and Europe are more developed than
most of Africa, parts of Asia, and South America. Two of the best-known
theories explaining these differences were developed by Walt Rostow and
Immanuel Wallerstein.
Rostow’s Stages of Economic Growth
In 1960, American economist W alt W . Rostow developed a modernization theory
that focuses on the shift from traditional to modern forms of society. He called
it the Stages of Economic Growth model. Rostow assumed that all countries
wanted to modernize, and that all would, though at different speeds. He saw
economic development as a linear progression in which countries moved from
one stage to the next until they reached the fifth and final stage—high mass
consumption.
Like the Demographic Transition Model (DTM), the Stages of Economic
Growth theory is a generalization based upon how the United States and
western Europe evolved, and both identify distinct stages. However, they differ
fundamentally. The DTM is a population model that focuses on changes in the
number of people in a country . Rostow's theory is an economic model that focuses
on how people live.
Rostow suggested that different inputs and levels of investment were
required to allow countries to move from one stage to the next. The theory
suggests a system for development—do this, then this, and eventually the
economy of a country will become developed. The key characteristics associated
with each stage are listed in the chart on the following page.
480 HUMAN GEOGRAPHY: AP
®
EDITION
ROSTOW’S STAGES OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Stage Characteristics Examples
1. Traditional
Society
• Depends upon primary sector
activities (farming, fishing, hunting) for
subsistence
• Uses limited technology
• Carries out local or regional trading
• Enjoys limited socioeconomic mobility
• English colonies in
North America in the
17
th
century
• Medieval Europe
• No entire country is
at this stage today
2. Preconditions
for Take-Off • Improves infrastructure (roads,
electrical grid, water systems, etc.)
• Improves farming techniques and shifts
toward commercial agriculture
• Exports agricultural and raw materials
(international trade)
• Diffuses technology more widely
• Starts individual socioeconomic
mobility
• United States in the
early 19
th
century
• Nigeria today
• Afghanistan today
3. Take-Off • Develops major technological
innovations
• Starts industrialization and primary
sector begins to shrink
• Spreads entrepreneurial mentality
• Begins to urbanize
• Initiates self-sustaining growth
• United States, mid-
19
th
century
• Japan, late
19
th
century
• Bangladesh today
4. Drive to
Maturity
• Creates new industries while
strengthening existing ones
• Improves energy, transportation, and
communication systems
• Sees economic growth greater than
population growth
• Invests in social infrastructure (schools,
hospitals, etc.)
• United States, late
19
th
century
• Germany, early
20
th
century
• Brazil today
5. High Mass
Consumption
• Spends money on nonessential goods
(consumerism)
• Purchases of high order goods become
common
• Desires to create a more egalitarian
society
• Supports a strong tertiary sector
• United States, early
1920s to present
• Japan, mid-1950s to
present
Notice the types of changes that have to occur to allow for a country to transition from one stage to the
next. What would be a major concern if all countries reached the stage of high mass consumption?
481 7.5: THEORIES OF DEVELOPMENT
Criticisms of Rostow’s Model
In spite of being one of the most influential economic models of the 20
th
century,
some experts have expressed concerns about Rostow's model. Critics of Stages
of Economic Growth model argue it has several weaknesses.
Limited Examples The model was based on American and European
examples, so it did not fit countries of non-Western cultures or noncapitalist
economies.
Role of Exploitation Rostow's model led to poorer countries getting
trapped in a state of dependency upon wealthier countries.
Bias Toward Progress The model suggested linear change, always in the
direction of progress. However, developing countries often need the assistance,
money, and technology of developed countries to develop. And in some cases,
countries might regress in economic development.
Lack of Variation In his model, Rostow suggested all countries have the
potential to develop, but there are significant differences among countries,
such as physical size, population, natural resources, relative location, political
systems, and climate, that affect their ability to develop.
Lack of Sustainability The model assumed that everyone could eventually
lead a life of high mass consumption but failed to consider sustainable
development or the carrying capacity of the earth.
Need for Poorer Countries Rostow's model failed to recognize that most
of the countries which reached the stage of high mass consumption did so by
exploiting the resources of lesser-developed countries. Countries that were still
developing would have difficulty finding other countries to exploit.
Narrow Focus The model focused on domestic economies and did not
directly address interactions between countries, specifically globalization.
Despite these criticisms, geographers, economists, and others continue to
use the model to understand how countries have changed over the past two
centuries. It has prompted people to think about economic and social change
in a global context and challenged them to provide their own framework.
Wallerstein’s World Systems Theory
In the 1970s, historian Immanuel Wallerstein proposed an alternative model
to Rostow’s, which he called the World Systems Theory. It is a dependency
model, meaning that countries do not exist in isolation but are part of an
intertwined world system in which all countries are dependent on each other.
Dependency theory argues that colonialism and neocolonialism (see Topic
4.2) are the cause of global inequities. Both Wallerstein and Rostow attempt
to explain the inequalities that exist between different countries and regions.
W orld Systems Theory includes both political and economic elements that have
significant geographic impacts.
As mentioned in Topic 7.2, Wallerstein divided countries into three
types—core, semiperiphery, and periphery. As a result, his theory is sometimes
referred to as the Core-Periphery model.
482 HUMAN GEOGRAPHY: AP
®
EDITION
WALLERSTEIN’S WORLD SYSTEMS THEORY
Category Characteristics Examples
Core • Includes the economically advantaged
countries of the world
• Includes the headquarters of most large
multinational companies and banks
• Focuses on higher-skill, capital-intensive
production
• Promotes capital accumulation
• Dominates semiperiphery and periphery
economically and politically
• Locates factories and service centers in
semiperiphery and periphery countries
• Benefits greatly from international trade
• United States
• United Kingdom
• Japan
• Australia
• Germany
Semiperiphery • Includes most middle-income countries,
sometimes called emerging economies
• Provides the core with manufactured
goods and services that the core formerly
provided for itself
• Shares characteristics of both core and
periphery
• China
• Mexico
• Brazil
• South Africa
• India
Periphery • Includes the least-developed countries
• Maintains many jobs in low-skill, labor-
intensive production and extraction
• Provides the core and semiperiphery with
inexpensive raw materials and labor
• Receives jobs but few profits from
manufacturing
• Attracts jobs by having weak laws
protecting workers and the environment
• Afghanistan
• Zimbabwe
• Bolivia
• Kenya
• Laos
Core Dominance Multinational companies, financial institutions,
and centers of technology are mostly based in core countries, but they have
signficantly influenced the economies of semiperiphery and periphery
countries. Businesses and governments in non-core countries borrow money
to finance large-scale projects and purchase technology from core countries.
Both processes increase the dependency of the periphery on the core.
Changing Categories Unlike Rostow’s model, Wallerstein’s model does
not suggest that all countries can reach the highest level of development, nor
does it explain how countries can improve their position. In contrast, it indicates
that the world system will always include a combination of types of countries.
But countries can change categories, moving in or out of the core. For example,
in 1950, South Korea and Singapore were part of the periphery. By 2020, they
were core countries. In 1900, Argentina was a core country. By 2000, it had
become part of the semiperiphery.
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